I’ll begin posting my picks each week for selected games. Allow me to explain. Instead betting on games where the match ups are almost a coin flip, I’ll look for mismatches that give you a greater chance to win.
Many of you will no doubt be disappointed when local college teams or the Chiefs are not part of my equation. While betting with your neighbor or your pals at work is kind of okay, serious betting is generally illegal.
Therefore I suggest that if you are really gonna risk more than a few bucks that you make your bets live and in person in places where gambling is legal like Las Vegas, Reno or Atlantic City. Lots of people bet online, but remember, this is generally illegal too.
And maybe a bigger issue with on-line betting is you have no recourse if they choose to fold their tent and not pay out. When you check into these on-line services you often see that they’re generally out of the country with home bases in South America or something. Now that you have my disclaimer, let the games begin.
As we enter the second week in college football, we’ve already seen a pretty big separation between the top teams and everyone else. And as you recall, I use the teaser system quite often.
If you pick two different teams – college or pro – in two different games, you;re allowed to adjust the point spread by six points either way.
But you have to win both games to win.
If you tie and win one, in most cases that is a push or no bet. However, I’ve noticed some online places and sports books in Vegas consider a tie a loss. Make sure you get the answer to this question before you place your bet.
The tease is most effective when powerhouse teams like Alabama or Ohio State are huge favorites over nobodies. Too often a team like Alabama will be a 30 point favorite over a weaker team but not cover the spread. Say Alabama is a thirty point favorite over Kansas, it’s safer to move the betting line down six just in case Alabama puts in the second and third string players late in the game and blows the spread.
Let’s say we like Kansas City over the Jaguars but the spread is 4 1/2 half points with the Chiefs as the favorite. It’s generally prudent to take the favorite even up, no points given.
And this really comes into play when you have to give up over 3 points in a game like this where the Chiefs are an average team playing a really bad team like the Jaguars. So if you take the money line and have the Chiefs even, you would have bet $140 to win $100. So if KC wins by a field goal which is only three points, you still win. You win less money, but you still win.
Now on to the games!
MU (-10) over Toledo
Oregon (-18) over Virginia…this is a tease bet
Michigan (-4) over Notre Dame
New England (-4) over Buffalo
Colts (-4) over Raiders…this also is a tease bet.
Tampa Bay (-4) over the New York Jets
KC Chiefs (+2) over Jags
Houston (+2) over the Chargers…this is a tease.
Enjoy your football weekend. I’ll be in Vegas enjoying mine.