As the NFL strike comes to an end, we can now look closely at the Chiefs’ chances in 2011…
Answer: Not Much.
Why? Unless the team’s draft picks are off the chart – especially at wide receiver – the offense could be worse this season. Quarterback Matt "The Franchise" Cassel has got to be much more effective. And that’s hard to do with just one solid back and maybe one wide out in Dwayne Bowe.
Maybe this will all get better. I do think the Chiefs defense will improve, mostly due to experience.And PS, we also have a new offensive coordinator, so who knows on that one?
So while the team may improve overall, the Chiefs schedule is a bitch. Uphill to say the least.
Before we go game to game, I also want to mention as I did last season, that I am not a Thomas Jones fan. He faded at the end of the year and was not able to gain the short yardage when we needed it. And the Chiefs do not yet have a power back. Without that player we’re in big trouble, regardless of what Jamaal Charles does.
Okay, here we go:
Game One: Chiefs vs. Bills at Home: Chiefs win,
Game Two Chiefs vs. Lions on road: Lions win. (They may make playoffs as the most improved NFL team).
Game Three: Chiefs vs. Chargers at Home: Chiefs win. (Shaky on this pick)
Game Four: Chiefs vs. Vikes on the road: Vikes win. (This could go either way Chiefs still haven’t learned the road yet)
Game Five: Chiefs Vs. Colts at Home:Colts win. (We never beat them).
Game Six: Chiefs vs. Raiders at Home: Chiefs win. (Again a shaky pick Raiders could be division champs and killed us at the end of last season here)
Game Seven: Chiefs Vs. Chargers road: Chargers win.
Game Eight: Chiefs vs. Miami at Home: Chiefs win. (Not an easy one)
Game Nine: Chiefs vs. Denver on the road: Denver wins.
Game 10: Chiefs vs. New England at Home: Pats win.
Game 11: Chiefs vs. Steelers on the road: Steelers win.
Game 12: Chiefs vs. Bears at home: Chiefs win in upset
Game 13: Chiefs vs. Jets on road: Jets win
Game 14: Chiefs vs. Green Bay at home: Packers win.
Game 15: Chiefs vs. Oakland on the road: Oakland wins
Game 16: Chiefs vs. Denver at Home: Chiefs win.
There you have it!
This would make the Chiefs 6 and 10 for the season.
Let’s argue I am wrong on maybe two games. So they are 8-8. This could happen with injuries, upsets, weather – it happens.
You look at this season’s ending run – HOLY COW – both Super Bowl teams and the runners up!
If Todd Haley gets his team to win 8 games this year he’s done a nice job. If he does better, he’ll be in line for Coach of the Year. In Vegas the over-under on the Chiefs season is 8 1/2. That means they need to win 9 games for you to win the bet on the over/under games for season.
I just showed you the seasons games. Unless there is some real improvement I feel 6-10 or 7-9 is the best they can hope for.
So I love this Vegas bet: CHIEFS UNDER 8 1/2 WINS.
That said I hope they prove me wrong.