Regarding the recent KC mayor’s race poll that was leaked to TKC…
I’m not ready to say it’s a complete contrivance. But I will say it’s complete bullshit.
In case you haven’t seen it, the poll names Mark Funkhouser as the frontrunner. That’s deceptive because, in the crowded field, he’s leading with a pitiful 26 percent. It also says:
Dissatisfied with the current leadership, voters are looking to replace Mark Funkhouser in the mayor’s office: Mark Funkhouser is personally (40% favorable/54% unfavorable) and professionally (28% positive/72% negative) unpopular and more than 6 of 10 voters say they would definitely (40%) or probably (22%) vote for another candidate to replace him as mayor.
Some of that is probably true. For instance, the 72 percent unfavorable on his job performance.
But the 26 percent?
I’m not buying it. Because Funkhouser’s own political hack — Jeff Roe — conducted a poll recently that placed support for Funk in the mid-teens.
I know. That poll hasn’t showed up in the news. Roe revealed it to a handful of handpicked reporters in exchange for assurances that the info is completely off the record.
The TKCBS poll says, “The bottom line is this: Frustrated by a lack of progress on the part of the mayor and the city council, Kansas Citians are looking for someone new to take the helm at City Hall.”
That much is obvious.
But it goes on to say, “and Sly James emerges as an appealing successor. Voters are receptive to his candidacy and he is well-positioned to advance to the runoff on February 22nd.”
He was in the low single digits a few months ago. He hasn’t done any advertising to speak of. Hasn’t shown up much in the news. What accounts for the rise?
The excrement of a male cow with horns, that’s what.
I would put more stock in the super-secret Roe poll, which claimed that Deb Hermann is running neck-and-neck with Funkhouser for the lead.
That makes sense because she sent out a clever and classy mailer a few weeks ago.
That’s not to say I believe the supposed implication of Roe’s findings: Funkhouser will make it through the primaries.
I don’t believe that’s going to happen.
There are three key voting areas in Kansas City politics: the Southwest Corridor, the Eastside and the Northland.
You have to win one of those in the primary the advance into the general election. And you have to win two in the general to become mayor.
Funk won’t win in the Southwest. He’s universally despised in his own neighborhood.
He won’t win on the Eastside because blacks don’t like him.
The only area Funk has a shot in is the Northland, and I’m positive he’s going to lose up there to either Hermann or Mike Burke, who are both Northlanders. There’s a good chance he’ll lose to both.
Here’s my prediction: Funkhouser will fair about as well in the primary as Katheryn Shields, who had strong name recognition but who also was indicted for mortgage fraud the same week that she filed her candidacy.